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- Each bet is a separate one but we must always have more wins than defeats per month in order to increase our working capital and make profits steadily each month. Keep your record and statistics in excel. Last of our 10 tips to win in soccer betting is tracking your records. You can keep match results in Excel. I use a free spreadsheet for this.
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Given its worldwide popularity, it comes as no surprise that soccer is the biggest sport in terms of bet volume at Pinnacle. With hundreds of matches to bet on every week and countless available markets for each match, some bettors could benefit from guidance when it comes to soccer betting. Continue reading to find out everything you need to know about soccer betting.
How to bet on soccer
Two teams of 11 players (with a varying number of substitutions allowed in different competitions) compete in a soccer match. A match takes place on a 45-90m x 90-120m pitch and lasts 90 minutes (two 45-minute halves) - unless the competition format requires extra-time (two 15-minute halves) or penalties to decide the match.
The aim of soccer is simple, score more goals than your opponent to win the match. In terms of soccer betting, however, there are various markets to look at and different outcomes to bet on that aren't just decided by the result of a match.
Soccer betting: Basic bet types
The three most common bet types in soccer betting are similar to those you will find in most other sports. Handicap and Totals in soccer betting is exactly the same as others, while the match outcome (1X2) is soccer's equivalent to the Money Line in baseball betting.
1X2
As mentioned above, the 1X2 market refers to the match outcome. A home win (1), a draw (X) or an away win (2) are the three available options - the only difference to Money Line betting is the draw (this is because standard soccer matches aren't settled by going into overtime and simply end as a draw).
Handicap
Handicap betting in soccer is similar to predicting the outcome of the match but it involves a goal 'handicap' that has been applied by the bookmaker to counter the perceived difference in abilities between the two teams. The favourites in the 1X2 market will have a negative handicap to overcome, while the underdog will have a positive handicap advantage.
The use of data and application of mathematical principles can help bettors calculate their own probability and produce expected outcomes.
Because soccer is a low-scoring sport, the handicap offered in soccer betting is usually much lower than NFL betting and NBA betting (only in a real mismatch contest will the handicap be more than three goals).
In order for a handicap bet to win, the team with the negative handicap must win by a greater margin than the figure set. The team with the positive handicap must win or lose by a smaller margin than the handicap figure.
Totals
Totals betting in soccer has nothing to do with who wins the match - it is simply betting on whether the number of goals scored will be over or under a figure set by the bookmaker. The totals market (often referred to as the Over/Under) usually refers to the combined total of goals scored by both sides, but individual team totals and first-half totals are also an option.
Other available markets
Once bettors understand the basics of how to bet on soccer, these skills can be transferred from pre-game betting to live soccer betting. The bet types and how they work are exactly the same in live betting but are just being applied to a match that has already started.
There are also other available markets outside the more traditional options. Bettors can place bets on how many corners will be awarded in a game, while cards betting is based on the total number of cards given to both sides.
In addition to markets that involve a single match, bettors can also bet on various outright markets. These range from competition winners, who will score the most goals in a competition, which team will get relegated and how many points an individual team will win over an entire season.
Developing a soccer betting strategy
We know what kind of form a team is in, if they have any injuries and more often than not, what kind of tactics they will employ in a match. However, bettors will need to build on this most basic knowledge if they are to make money from soccer betting.
Before delving into complex predictive models, some basic data analysis can go a long way to improving results in soccer betting. Bettors can quantify such claims as 'they play better at home' by analysing home field advantage and using it to calculate their own odds to compare against those produced by the bookmaker.
- Learn how to calculate home field advantage.
Although soccer is inherently random and notoriously hard to predict - even for a bookmaker - historical performances and past statistics can help provide an edge in soccer betting. Whether you're trying to predict a draw, betting on both teams to score or analysing expected goals, data can certainly be used to your advantage.
Why maths is important in soccer betting
As shown by David Sumpter in Soccermatics, the application of mathematics in soccer can help improve our understanding of how the game works (and ultimately how to make more efficient betting decisions). From Elo ratings to regression analysis, a basic grasp of maths is essential if you want to make money from soccer betting.
There are plenty out there who claim to have a winning formula but bettors should learn how to measure tipster performance before buying into their success.
Maths can be used to calculate whether you should place a bet or not (whether it has positive expected value) as well as how much you should stake per bet. The use of staking methods will help optimise your bankroll in soccer betting but maths can also help improve your chances of making a profit in other ways.
Double chance betting involves betting on multiple outcomes within the same match. While it might reduce the amount of profit you would make for simply betting on a team to win, it also provides you with a profit for another match outcome - either a draw or the opposition win.
- Learn how to calculate stakes for Double Chance betting.
Slightly more advanced formulas, like the Poisson distribution, can be used to translate mean averages into a probability for variable outcomes across a distribution - such as the score of a soccer match.
The use of data and application of mathematical principles can help bettors calculate their own probability (which should then be converted into odds to compare against bookmakers') and produce expected outcomes. This can be taken a step further by using Monte Carlo simulations to produce distributions of possible outcome values.
Be wary of soccer betting tipsters
While soccer betting appears to be much more complex than the sport itself, this guide should have helped you understand what it takes to start making consistent profits. There are plenty out there who claim to have a winning formula but bettors should learn how to measure tipster performance before buying into their success.
The Green Lumber Fallacy highlights the blurred line between expert sporting knowledge and expert betting knowledge. Making a profit from betting on soccer takes time, effort and patience, following tipsters or self-proclaimed 'experts' might seem like an easy option, but it won't be worthwhile in the long run.
In this article we will provide you 10 tips to win in soccer betting.
Alot of articles have been written about how to win the bet today, how not to lose money and the best strategy to follow.
Many suggest that we should trust some magic algorithm that predicts team results. Others say we should play in scratch racing and others suggest looking for the best performing teams.
After all, what of all this?
We may not have all the time to look it up or analyze it, but I can give you 10 tips to win in soccer betting that will surely help you.
Play with a system without enthralled
Betting is a mathematical game on the Internet and like all games it is not based on luck but on statistics, on forecasts and on classic odds.
Playing systematically increases your chances of winning and getting more cash from the bookies than losing.
Never bet on your favorite team
Emotion is a bad counselor and it won't help you think clearly.
For example, if your favorite team is Cardiff and you were playing against Manchester United, it makes sense that you'd wish Cardiff to win and Manchester to lose. Therefore you are biased and you do not have the clear mind needed to think about the real chances of Cardiff to win.
Do not play to take back your loss
As it is reasonable like all of us, you may also have lost some money in betting. That doesn't mean you have to try to get your losses back in a day.
Likewise, those who have lost at least one euro playing lotto should play frantically until they win. If you don't have the money to play just don't play.
Find a bookmaker with the best payouts
There are too many betting companies worldwide that offer different odds for each game. All companies are not the same and all games are not the same.
Find a betting company that suits you and has odds that are slightly better than the market. Therefore you will be able to get 1.40 or 1.45 in a game instead of 1.35.
If you play 100 euros in each match and you win, then your winnings will be 1 euro higher, which is about a 10% difference. If you look at betting amounts of 1,000 euros cumulatively, winnings will be 100 euros and so on.
Better betting odds mean more chances to win.
Don't play money intended for other needs
You need to prioritize your needs and understand that betting is not a job. It is also not a life-long profession that you can do forever because there is risk involved, unless you are a top betting guru.
A lower profile money management and a little moderation does not hurt. Play your bet with as much money as you can bet and no more than you can afford.
See the game you played and enjoy the game. During the game, if you are not relaxed and you can not see the game because you have wagered your whole money then you have to change direction.
If you are not relaxed and you feel stress then you will not have fun and you will not enjoy football betting.
Don't lose capital
Last but not least, you need to have some capital to invest in betting. Do not spend enormus amounts of money whenever you have some.
You should play steadily and disciplinedly and try not to lose your initial capital.
Calculate each month your profits and see how many matches you have lost and how many you have won. Your goal is winners to be more than losses.
If you consistently play 1% of the capital in your games, then you will find yourself having at least your initial capital or earning a few euros more than your initial capital this month.
Play one game per day
Choose one of the best and most trusted betting companies and start with one game per day.
Which game? This is another matter and it is your job to find out which one.
You can read our website with dozens of articles, match analysis and free betting tips daily.
Your job is to identify opportunities and identify which game has those characteristics that will give you the odds you want and that you can easily win.
Remember that betting is not lotto and you should leave nothing to luck.
If you want to play lotto or roulette, don't take part in soccer betting and don't waste your money. Your capital is very important and it should not be lost but only to grow.
Minimize defeats and maximize your wins
Hollywood Soccer Bet Codes
Each bet is a separate one but we must always have more wins than defeats per month in order to increase our working capital and make profits steadily each month.
Keep your record and statistics in excel
Last of our 10 tips to win in soccer betting is tracking your records.
You can keep match results in Excel. I use a free spreadsheet for this purpose, Openoffice. Alternatively you can use Google Documents and specifically Google Sheets.
G Bet Soccer Codes
This way you will be able to look back on old wins and losses and create your own conclusions.
Soccer Bet Srbija
The science of winning in soccer betting is something that is is being built daily and match after match.
